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Thursday, August 4, 2011

Japan intervenes to tame yen


TOKYO | Wed Aug 3, 2011 11:37pm EDT

(Reuters) - Japan intervened in the currency market and its central bank looked set to ease policy on Thursday in a concerted effort to stem a rise in the yen that Tokyo fears could derail the economy's recovery from the March earthquake.

Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda said Japan had consulted its international partners, but acted on its own to stem what it considered speculative and disorderly currency moves.

The intervention followed days of official warnings that the currency had risen beyond level that the export-reliant economy could handle. It pushed the yen down as far as 78.47 per dollar from around 77 before the intervention.

"Japan is just in the process of recovering from a natural disaster, so these currency moves are certain to have a negative impact on the economy and financialmarkets," Noda told reporters. "As a result, we conducted current market intervention."

Thursday's action follows a surprise interest rate cut the Swiss central bank to ease the buying pressure on its currency, which like the yen had been attracting funds switching out of the dollar because of fears of a U.S. credit downgrade and concerns about the health of the world's biggest economy.

"Yesterday's monetary easing by Switzerland provided the push because if Japan didn't respond this would push the yen still higher," said Nagayuki Yamagishi, a strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities. "A response needed to be taken quickly to head off any further yen strengthening."

Noda told a news conference he expected the Bank of Japan to take appropriate action. The central bank said it would cut short its scheduled two-day meeting that started on Thursday.

A source familiar with the central bank's thinking told Reuters the BOJ was poised to announce an increase in its 10 trillion yen asset buying scheme.

There were growing signals that the Bank of Japan would seek to amplify the impact of yen selling in the market with policy easing, pumping more funds into the economy through increased purchases of government debt and other assets.

Noda declined to comment on the size of the intervention or

say what currencies Japan bought or sold. He would also not say whether Tokyo planned returning to the market, although traders said authorities continued sporadic intervention.

Analysts greeted Tokyo's intervention with skepticism, doubting a combination of direct yen selling and monetary easing could stem a global shift away from the dollar and other riskier assets.

"The impact from the intervention may be short-lived as the view that the yen is still a safe-haven currency hasn't changed amid concerns over the global economy," said Makoto Nagahori, head of equities at Instinet.

Some currency traders braced for further dollar declines should U.S. payroll data on Friday heighten concerns about the health of the U.S. economy. That could increase the chance of Japanese government intervention.

Prime Minister Naoto Kan's government, beset by record low popularity ratings and struggling to work out the details of a post-disaster plan for the nation's biggest rebuilding effort since World War Two, had been under growing pressure from businesses to tame the yen.

The world's third-largest economy had been expected to pull out of a brief post-quake recession later this year, but the yen's nearly 5 percent surge over the past month and signs of cooling global economy, cast doubt over that outlook.

Japan last intervened in concert with the Group of Seven in March, when expectations of fund repatriation after the earthquake pushed the yen to a record high. Tokyo last acted solo in September 2010, when it sold 2.1 trillion yen.

Headline News 04.08.11

U.S. & GLOBAL 


• Bursa saham global tertekan ke level terendahnya dalam lima bulan sementara itu harga emas mencatatkan harga tertinggi barunya Rabu lalu karena investor khawatir mengenai pemangkasan pembelanjaan pemerintah pada saat perlambatan pertumbuhan ekonomi global.  


• Bursa saham AS ditutup menguat Rabu lalu, yang telah mencatatkan penurunan tujuh harinya oleh indeks S&P 500, tetapi kekhawatiran mengenai pertumbuhan ekonomi tetap menjaga perdagangan yang volatile. Berdasarkan data terakhir penutupannya, indeks Dow Jones industrial average <.DJI> naik 29.59 poin, atau 0.25 persen, ke level 11,896.21. Indeks Standard & Poor's 500 <.SPX> meningkat 6.31 poin, atau 0.50 persen, ke level 1,260.36. Indeks Nasdaq Composite <.IXIC> menguat 23.83 poin, atau 0.89 persen, ke level 2,693.07.  


• Indeks MSCI's world equity <.MIWD00000PUS> merosot 0.7 persen ke level terendahnya sejak pertengahan Maret, turun dari rangkaian enam harinya berturut‐turut. Saham‐saham Eropa <.FTEU3> berkurang 2 persen ke level terendah penutupannya yang hampir dalam setahun dan U.S. dollar‐denominated Nikkei futures <NKc1> mengalami flat.  


• Swiss franc merosot dari level tertingginya Rabu lalu setelah Swiss National Bank mengejutkan pasar dengan pemangkasan tingkat suku bunga, tetapi penurunan seharusnya membuktikan meningkatnya permasalahan mengenai pertumbuhan ekonomi global.    


• SNB mengatakan the franc adalah "massively overvalued," menjaga tetap adanya prospek dari intervensi. Bahwa juga dipertajam pada fokus dari otoritas Jepang, yang memperingatkan kembali mereka tidak nyaman dengan penguatan yen.  


• Euro telah mencapai level terendahnya 1.07946 francs pada trading platform EBS hanya sebelum aksi dari SNB. Kemudian rebound tajam ke perdagangan terakhir yang naik 1.5 persen ke level 1.0998.  


• Dollar AS mengalami recover dari level terendahnya 0.7610 franc <CHF=EBS>, terakhir diperdagangkan pada level 0.7673, meningkat 0.6 persen dalam hariannya.   


• Euro melejit terhadap dollar AS, menguat 0.9 persen ke level $1.4322 <EUR=>. Analis memperingatkan bawah bertahannya tekanan pada pasar obligasi, khususnya di Italia dan Spanyol, yang kemungkinan membatasi kenaikan euro.  


• Harga obligasi jangka panjang Tresuri AS bertahan menguat Rabu lalu karena kekhawatiran ekonomi dapat anjlok kembali kepada resesi yang memacu investor untuk mencari aman pada obligasi pemerintah AS.    


• Harga emas naik menuju level $1,675 per ons Rabu lalu, mencapai level tertinggi keduanya dalam dua hari, karena investor mencari perlindungan dari volatilitas pasar saham, perlambatan ekonomi dan meluasnya periode pelonggaran kebijakan moneter AS. Spot gold <XAU=> naik 0.2 persen ke level $1,662.74 per ons pada pukul 2:58 PM EDT (1858 GMT), yan pada awalnya telah mencapai level 
tertingginya $1,672.65, melewati kenaikan tertinggi Selasa lalu sekitar $12.    


• Harga minyak mentah melemah tajam ke level terendahnya dalam bulanan, tertekan oleh kenaikan cadangan petroleum AS yang naik berkenaan dengan permintaan oil. U.S. crude untuk pengiriman bulan September <CLc1> di settled ke level $91.93 per barrel, anjlok $1.86, level terendah penutupannya sejak 27 Juni. U.S. crude telah anjlok empat dari lima hari terakhirnya.  


• Sterling menguat terhadap dollar AS dan mencapai level tertingginya dalam dua bulannya Rabu lalu setelah data menunjukkan aktivitas yang tidak di ekspektasi pada pertumbuhan jasa Inggris yang tumbuh lebih cepat dalam empat bulannya.   


• Tetapi analis mengatakan kenaikan dapat tertekan dari permasalahan mengenai kerapuhan dari recovery ekonomi Inggris, khususnya setelah data pada awalnya minggu ini menunjukkan aktivitas manufaktur mengalami kontraksi.   


• Sterling terakhir naik 0.6 persen terhadap dollar AS ke level $1.6380 <GBP=D4>, bertahan mendekati harian tertingginya dan terlihat ke level tertingginya dua bulan ke level $1.6477 yang tercapai awal minggu ini. Kenaikan ini dibantu oleh pound's trade‐weighted index <=GBP> ke level 79.8, level terkuatnya sejak 1 Juni.   


• Euro diperdagangkan pada level 87.27 pence terhadap sterling <EURGBP=D4>, naik 0.2 persen dalam hariannya tetapi tidak jauh dari level terendahnya dua bulan 86.955 pence yang terjadi pada awal hariannya.