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Monday, December 27, 2010
China's Wen confident on inflation after rate rise
BEIJING (Reuters) - China's government will be able to keep inflation in check, Premier Wen Jiabao said on Sunday, a day after the central bank raised interest rates, and he pledged to speed up efforts to rein in house price surges.
Steps taken in the past month, including administrative controls to curb speculation and monetary tightening, had started to produce results, Wen said.
The People's Bank of China raised interest rates on Christmas Day for a second time in just over two months as Beijing strengthened its battle against stubbornly high inflation.
Analysts said the latest rise showed that measures such as increasing banks' required reserve requirements to rein in liquidity were not enough on their own, and that the Chinese authorities were determined to keep inflation under control.
"We have raised reserve requirement ratio for six consecutive times and increased interest rates twice to absorb excess liquidity in the market to keep it at a reasonable level to support economic development," Wen said in a state radio broadcast a day after the rate rise.
"I believe we can keep prices at a reasonable level through our efforts. As a major leader of the government, I have the responsibility and I have the confidence, too," he said in remarks published on www.cnr.cn.
The rate rise came after Beijing said earlier in December it was switching to a "prudent" monetary policy, from its earlier "moderately loose" stance.
"The rate rise shows China is quickening its pace to normalize monetary policies," said Ba Shusong, a senior economist with the Development Research Center, under the State Council, the country's cabinet.
"The front-loaded tightening, before the peak of consumer inflation in the first half of 2011, is helpful to curb inflationary expectations," Ba was quoted as saying on the financial website www.caing.com.
AHEAD OF THE CURVE
Chinese authorities have repeatedly stressed the importance of staying ahead of the curve in the battle against inflation.
"Inflationary expectation is worse than inflation itself," Wen said in the radio broadcast.
"When there is inflation, we must establish confidence, know our vantage points and take forceful and decisive measures in a timely manner to curb price rises."
The central bank said on Friday it would deploy a range of measures to head off inflationary pressures and asset bubbles.
China also intensified its property tightening measures in April and September in an attempt to brake soaring property prices.
"Until now, the measures are not implemented well enough, and we will reinforce our efforts in two ways," Wen said.
The government plans to build 10 million units of affordable housing in 2011, up from this year's target of 5.8 million.
China will also increase efforts to curb speculation in the real estate market, mainly through monetary policies and stricter use of land, Wen said, without giving details.
Property transactions as well as land costs, a major contributor to high housing prices, have shown signs of a rebound in recent weeks, triggering concerns of more tightening.
Despite all the challenges, Wen said: "I believe property prices will return to reasonable levels through our efforts. I have the confidence."
Chinese stock markets have shed nearly 10 percent since mid-November on concerns the government would ratchet up its monetary policy tightening in the face of rising inflation.
However, analysts suggested China's share market could push higher on Monday on optimism about the overall outlook for shares in 2011.
Gold slips nearly 1 percent on China's interest rate hike
SINGAPORE | Sun Dec 26, 2010 7:40pm EST
SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Spot gold fell nearly one percent on Monday, and other precious metals also declined, after China raised interest rates over the weekend.
On Saturday China's central bank raised interest rates for the second time in just over two months, underscoring concerns that inflation may be entrenched and swift action is needed to get price pressure under control.
Spot gold fell to a one-week low of $1,371.1, before recovering to $1,373.35 an ounce by 7:04 p.m. EST GMT, down 0.8 percent from the previous close.
U.S. gold futures shed 0.4 percent to $1,374.4.
Spot silver fell 1.4 percent to $28.81, and touched a one-week low of $28.75.
Spot platinum declined one percent to $1,706, and spot palladium also fell one percent to $745.5.
China's rate hike is likely to weigh on commodity market on Monday. Commodities have been riding on inflation anticipation in China, a key market for nearly all commodities.
The dollar edged up against a basket of currencies in early trade on Monday.
PRICES
Precious metals prices at 0004 GMT
Metal Last Change Pct chg YTD pct chg Turnover
Spot Gold 1373.35 -10.90 -0.79 25.34
Spot Silver 28.81 -0.40 -1.37 71.18
Spot Platinum 1706.00 -16.50 -0.96 16.29
Spot Palladium 745.50 -7.50 -1.00 83.85
TOCOM Gold 3674.00 -34.00 -0.92 12.73 12674
TOCOM Platinum 4620.00 -63.00 -1.35 5.46 3160
TOCOM Silver 77.00 -1.30 -1.66 48.94 329
TOCOM Palladium 2007.00 -28.00 -1.38 72.27 255
Euro/Dollar 1.3082
Dollar/Yen 82.91
TOCOM prices in yen per gram. Spot prices in $ per ounce.
Nikkei edges higher, China rate hike taken in stride
TOKYO | Sun Dec 26, 2010 7:22pm EST
TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan's Nikkei average edged 0.3 percent higher on Monday with increased appetite toward global equities in recent weeks lending support and helping offset any concerns from China's raising of interest rates on the weekend.The benchmark Nikkei rose 0.3 percent or 32.55 points to 10,310.85.
The broader Topix index was 0.1 percent higher at 902.52.
Stocks, oil rise in festive cheer
PARIS | Sat Dec 25, 2010 5:07pm EST
PARIS (Reuters) - World stocks held near the previous day's two-year high on Friday while oil hit fresh two-year peaks after strong U.S. data this week encouraged investors to maintain their risk positions into 2011.
Thursday's U.S. data showing that demand for a range of long-lasting U.S. manufactured goods surged in November and consumer spending rose for a fifth straight month reinforced expectations for strong economic growth in the fourth quarter.
"We've had a good run, helped by quantitative easing and better economic data," said Bernard McAlinden, investment strategist at NCB Stockbrokers in Dublin. "We've broken out of ranges, and it can go higher in 2011."
The MSCI world equity index .MIWD00000PUS edged higher to just below Thursday's peak, which was its highest since September 2008, set just before the collapse of Lehman Brothers.
The index is up 9.6 percent this year.
Fund tracker EPFR said investor focus shifted from bonds to equities in the final weeks of 2010, with equity funds globally taking in a net $4.5 billion for the week ending December 22. Bond funds saw redemptions totaling $2.3 billion.
The Thomson Reuters global stock index .TRXFLDGLPU dipped slightly, but the FTSEurofirst 300 index .FTEU3 rose about 0.1 percent.
Ratings agency Fitch downgraded Portugal on Thursday, citing burgeoning debt levels and a tough financing environment, a move analysts said was largely expected by investors.
The downgrade puts Fitch's rating for Portugal on a par with Moody's A1 rating, but still two notches above that of Standard and Poor's A-minus.
Trading was very light, with markets closed in Germany, Italy, Spain, Denmark, Finland, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland, Greece, Austria, Hungary, and Iceland. U.S. markets were also closed to observe the Christmas holiday.
Emerging market stocks .MSCIEF fell slightly.
U.S. crude oil rose more than 1 percent to $91.41 a barrel as unusually cold weather fueled demand and depleted supplies.
Snow and more frigid temperatures were predicted in parts of Europe over the weekend, threatening to prolong chaos at airlines and rail networks and further boost fuel demand.
The bund future fell 32 ticks.
The U.S. dollar .DXY fell less than 0.1 percent against a basket of major currencies, while the euro was mostly unchanged at $1.3114.
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